Como vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
TER
1 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
COM
0 - 0
REG
55%
25%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
BRE
3 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
REG
48%
26%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRG
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
PRG
2 - 2
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 0
PRG
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |