Como vs Pergocrema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ASF
2 - 0
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
PRG
22%
28%
50%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 0
COM
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
NOV
23%
28%
49%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
ACM
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
ASF
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 0
PER
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
NOV
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
VAR
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |