Como vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BV5
2 - 2
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
USC
2 - 2
COM
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COM
4 - 2
PAV
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 3
COM
29%
31%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COM
3 - 0
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
USC
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
ACL
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAG
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 0
SOR
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
PAG
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |