Como vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 1
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
COM
2 - 2
FOL
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 3
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
COM
0 - 0
PRO
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ASS
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
BEN
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
17%
25%
58%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
PAG
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |