Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
COM
1 - 0
LIV
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GRO
3 - 4
COM
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PON
2 - 2
COM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 1
COM
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
OLB
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PIS
2 - 0
NOV
28%
25%
46%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
26%
24%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
PIA
3 - 3
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |