Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 1
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
COM
77%
17%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
USI
65%
22%
14%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
COM
24%
28%
48%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASF
0 - 2
NOV
20%
26%
55%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
NOV
80%
15%
5%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 2
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
PES
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |