Como vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PES
1 - 1
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
COM
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
GEN
0 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
COM
1 - 1
ABN
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
NAP
2 - 2
VER
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 0
NAP
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 2
FIO
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |