Como vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CTT
2 - 1
COM
22%
28%
50%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
COM
2 - 0
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
COM
3 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
EMP
0 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
CAG
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
NAP
2 - 0
SIE
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 1
NAP
26%
26%
49%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
NAP
4 - 2
COS
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2001 |
NAP
3 - 2
PAL
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
REG
3 - 1
NAP
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |