Como vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CES
3 - 1
COM
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
LAT
28%
30%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 3
BRE
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 4
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPE
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASC
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 2
LAT
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |