Como vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
UDI
3 - 2
COM
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
COM
1 - 1
PRG
26%
26%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
COM
5 - 1
BOL
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
INT
4 - 0
COM
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MOD
3 - 2
BOL
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 0
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PIA
3 - 3
MOD
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 1
REG
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
JUV
3 - 0
MOD
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |