Como vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 2
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
COM
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
COM
4 - 0
LEC
58%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2000 |
MOD
2 - 0
REG
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 1
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |