Como vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
COM
1 - 2
NAP
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
CTT
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
FER
0 - 3
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 3
SAL
20%
26%
55%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 4
LAZ
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
LAZ
5 - 0
MOD
90%
8%
3%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
MOD
3 - 2
COS
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |