Como vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
GEN
0 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
COM
1 - 1
ABN
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 0
COM
32%
29%
40%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
COM
1 - 1
VNZ
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
MES
2 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ABN
0 - 0
MES
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MES
4 - 0
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TRE
1 - 2
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |