Como vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
SSS
3 - 1
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
GEN
0 - 0
COM
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FCC
3 - 2
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |