Como vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
USA
0 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 1
MAT
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 2
MAT
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
BEN
20%
25%
56%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |