Como vs Lucchese Libertas analysis


63	ELO	65
-22.4%	Tilt	-17.2%
126º	General ELO ranking	3055º
21º	Country ELO ranking	100º
ELO win probability

37.2%

Como

29.6%

Draw

33.2%

Lucchese Libertas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%

29.6%

Draw

0-0

11.8%

1-1

13.5%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

29.6%

33.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+30%

-1%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Como

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Sep. 2000	USA 0 - 1 COM 58% 23% 18%	62	64	2	0
10 Sep. 2000	COM 0 - 0 ACL 59% 24% 17%	62	54	8	0
03 Sep. 2000	CAR 0 - 1 COM 39% 28% 33%	61	56	5	+1
14 May. 2000	ABN 4 - 3 COM 43% 27% 30%	62	56	6	-1
07 May. 2000	COM 1 - 0 SPA 47% 28% 24%	61	60	1	+1

Matches

Lucchese Libertas

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Sep. 2000	ASL 3 - 1 REG 46% 27% 27%	65	63	2	0
10 Sep. 2000	ASL 1 - 1 CAR 63% 23% 15%	65	55	10	0
03 Sep. 2000	BRE 1 - 3 ASL 41% 27% 31%	64	60	4	+1
14 May. 2000	SPA 1 - 1 ASL 43% 28% 30%	64	59	5	0
07 May. 2000	ASL 1 - 1 PIS 39% 31% 30%	64	70	6	0