Como vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 1
COM
51%
27%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
USC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
SIE
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 2
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASL
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |