Como vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
PIA
1 - 0
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
COM
1 - 1
PES
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
COS
1 - 0
COM
60%
26%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
COM
2 - 0
FIA
35%
32%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 1
VER
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
ACI
3 - 0
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 3
UDI
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
VIC
2 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |