Como vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
USC
0 - 0
COM
54%
29%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
COM
2 - 1
SSS
56%
29%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CES
1 - 1
COM
61%
25%
14%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
COM
3 - 0
CAM
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
COM
1 - 0
CAG
42%
30%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 1
LEC
57%
27%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 2
CAG
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
LEC
53%
29%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |