Como vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
COM
3 - 0
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
ALA
73%
17%
11%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
COM
3 - 2
LIL
27%
26%
46%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
COM
0 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
47%
25%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
AVE
0 - 1
LAZ
10%
19%
71%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
INT
2 - 2
LAZ
73%
17%
10%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
EMP
0 - 1
LAZ
16%
23%
61%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |