Como vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 1
COM
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COM
0 - 2
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
COM
0 - 2
TRI
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
CRV
1 - 1
LAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
REG
0 - 3
LAZ
22%
28%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
EMP
1 - 2
LAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CRV
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |