Como vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 1
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
COM
1 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
VNZ
3 - 1
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
COM
0 - 0
TRI
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
GEN
4 - 2
CAG
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
GEN
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 1
GEN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 2
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |