Como vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
COM
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
OLG
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GOZ
1 - 2
COM
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
ASD
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
ASD
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
PRO
37%
27%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
GRU
3 - 1
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
FOL
27%
25%
47%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
OLG
0 - 2
FOL
33%
27%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 2
VAR
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |