Como vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
5%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
USC
20%
26%
53%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
ASF
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 0
FCV
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 1
USC
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 2
FCV
74%
18%
8%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 2
SOR
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |