Como vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
COS
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ASC
0 - 3
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
COM
2 - 1
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 2
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
COM
4 - 1
ABN
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
CRO
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 1
VIC
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
TER
0 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
CRO
2 - 0
PES
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 0
CRO
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |