Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
USA
0 - 1
COM
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
ACL
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 1
SPE
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ACL
3 - 0
LEC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 0
LIV
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2000 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
LEC
3 - 4
REG
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |