Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
VNZ
3 - 0
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 0
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
REG
1 - 2
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1960 |
COM
2 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1960 |
LEC
3 - 1
REG
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
LEC
2 - 2
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |