Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
23.4%
66.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
LEO
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PES
2 - 1
COM
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
ACD
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
6 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAG
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
SPE
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAG
19%
27%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAG
19%
26%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |