Como vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
22%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 2
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
COM
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
COM
4 - 0
LEC
58%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
USA
0 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |