Como vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
56.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
3 - 0
COM
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
ARZ
16%
24%
60%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VER
6 - 0
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 0
COM
73%
19%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 0
PAG
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
BEN
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
11 - 0
PRO
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ACL
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |