Como vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 2
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
COM
0 - 2
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
COM
3 - 5
LIV
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COM
0 - 1
VIC
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 0
ASC
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAL
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PES
0 - 0
ATL
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |