Como vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
JUV
1 - 0
COM
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
COM
0 - 0
ASC
50%
29%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
FIO
1 - 2
COM
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
COM
1 - 2
AVE
45%
29%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
42%
30%
28%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
ATL
1 - 0
VER
35%
30%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATL
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAP
33%
31%
36%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
ASC
2 - 1
ATL
54%
27%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
EMP
0 - 0
ATL
42%
31%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |