Como vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
REG
1 - 1
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
VER
29%
30%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
RAV
1 - 1
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 0
FCS
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASG
2 - 1
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAV
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
REG
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
USA
3 - 1
SPE
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |