Como vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PRO
3 - 1
COM
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
COM
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
OLG
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GOZ
1 - 2
COM
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOR
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
VAR
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
VAR
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
VAR
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
VAR
7%
17%
76%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |