Como vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
FER
0 - 3
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 3
SAL
20%
26%
55%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |