Como vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
PRO
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
PRO
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
OLG
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
OLG
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARC
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
ARC
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 2
VAR
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 0
ARC
35%
24%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |