Como vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
COS
1 - 4
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
SAL
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 1
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
REG
4 - 1
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
COM
1 - 1
VNZ
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ANC
1 - 0
CRO
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ANC
0 - 0
SIE
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
NAP
1 - 2
ANC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CAT
0 - 1
ANC
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |