Como vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
COM
1 - 0
COS
36%
31%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
FIA
4 - 0
COM
54%
28%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
COM
1 - 4
UDI
25%
31%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
VER
1 - 0
COM
58%
26%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
USF
5 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ANC
4 - 2
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
UDI
2 - 2
ANC
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
ANC
3 - 0
ACI
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
ANC
3 - 3
PES
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ANC
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |