Como vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
COM
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 4
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
PAG
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BV5
2 - 2
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAR
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
ACP
37%
25%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
FCC
70%
20%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACG
0 - 1
ACP
41%
26%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |