Como vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
COM
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 2
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
COM
0 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 1
PAV
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
PAV
0 - 0
CAG
45%
24%
32%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 1
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 0
SAL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |