Como vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
COM
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
GER
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
USC
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 2
VNZ
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GER
2 - 1
ASS
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABN
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REA
3 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |