Como vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 2
COM
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
USA
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
COM
1 - 3
USC
52%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 1
COM
24%
26%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
ABN
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
MAN
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
FCS
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAN
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GER
0 - 2
MAN
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |