Como vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIR
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
SAL
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |