Como vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VER
6 - 0
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 0
COM
73%
19%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
PER
25%
29%
46%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ACS
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 4
ARZ
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
LEC
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |