Comerciantes FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 0
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
UCV
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 3
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
COM
3 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 1
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
EGB
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 2
SAM
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LOS
3 - 4
COM
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |