Peru Second Division Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Comerciantes FC vs Juan Pablo II College analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+318%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
COM
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
3 - 1
COM
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
AYA
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
COM
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
PIR
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Pablo II College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AYA
1 - 2
JPC
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JPC
1 - 1
FSM
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
JPC
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 1
JPC
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JPC
3 - 2
COM
23%
26%
51%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +1 |