Comerciantes FC vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 0
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
SRP
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
LOS
11%
18%
71%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +4 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
COM
87%
10%
4%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 0
ALF
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
AYA
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SRP
2 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |