Comerciantes FC vs Tacna Heroica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+218%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 2
COM
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
SAM
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
CAN
45%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 1
CAN
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
SFC
4 - 1
EGB
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 1
EGB
74%
16%
9%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
EGB
3 - 2
COM
20%
25%
55%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 2
EGB
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 60 | 45 | +2 |