Comerciantes FC vs Colegio Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CIM
0 - 2
COM
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
CNI
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
CNI
1 - 1
COM
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
CIM
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CCO
1 - 2
COM
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Colegio Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CCO
5 - 1
SEM
36%
22%
41%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LPT
0 - 2
CCO
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
CCO
1 - 1
LPT
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SEM
2 - 1
CCO
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CCO
1 - 2
COM
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |