Comercial vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 3
COM
41%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
LIN
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
CAP
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 0
VEL
19%
25%
57%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 1
PRI
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 0
PRI
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 1
BAR
23%
28%
49%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 2
PRI
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |